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  • šŸ“ø Would you pay $17 for Instagram?

šŸ“ø Would you pay $17 for Instagram?

And the beauty bar with jetlag

This is Nick. This is Jack. And we have your next holiday picked: a Private Island. According to the WSJ, itā€™s never been cheaper to have a private island experience. Thereā€™s one in Norway going for $250/night. Or you can grab your 50 closest friends and book the one in Scotland for $2K/week thatā€™s fully stocked with wine and haggis. Weā€™ll wait for the Venmo requestā€¦

Stocks enjoyed a big day of gains Thursday as several companies beat expectations with their earnings reports. But Sam Bankman-Fried didnā€™t. He was found guilty in ā€œone of the biggest financial frauds in history.ā€ More on that below.

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1) Would You Pay $17 For Ad-Free Instagram?

Meta is officially offering an ad-free version of Facebook and Instagram in Europe for $17/month. Now the French can scroll bare feeds for a feeā€¦

Why are they doing this? Europe has concerns about the fundamentals of Metaā€™s business model, i.e. giving you social media for free but targeting you with Chacos ads and hoarding your swipe data. 

  • The gist: The European Union required Zuck to offer an alternative. A version that stripsā€¦the ads. And he finally caved šŸ³. 

  • The news: So now Europeans can pay $17/mo for ad-free Instagram. Meta will continue tracking your data either way, but if you pay, you wonā€™t see freakishly relevant ads in your feed anymore.

For context: Facebook says itā€™s a social media platform, but itā€™s really an ad company. Your swiping patterns provide insights that marketers are willing to dump buckets of $$$ into the Metaverse for. But is ad-free swiping really worth $17?

The Takeaway: A price is a signal: Zuck wants this ad-free instagram to fail. $17/ month is a thick ask. Thatā€™s more than HBO Maxā€™s ad-free tier. Hereā€™s the thing: Meta says it ā€œrespects the spirit and purposeā€ of the regulations and ā€œis committed to complyingā€ā€¦.but we respectfully disagree. 

  • šŸšØ If Meta wanted to honor the intent of the law, they wouldā€™ve priced the ad-free tier at a more reasonable $8/month ā€” Because thatā€™s how much Meta makes off each ad-viewing European user.

  • šŸšØ But instead, Metaā€™s charging 2x that price ā€” And we think thatā€™s a signal they donā€™t want people to sign up.

  • šŸšØ Maybe Zuckā€™s worried a paying user may quit Insta after seeing any price show on their credit card statement.

But no matter the reason, any price is a signal ā€” and this high price signals Zuck doesnā€™t want people buying it.

2) EstĆ©e Lauderā€™s Makeup Bar After TSA

EstĆ©e Lauderā€™s stock dropped 20% to a 6-year low after its earnings this week. And thereā€™s a shocking stat about makeup and airports thatā€™ll pucker your lips (more on that in a bit). 

The TL;DR on EstĆ©e Lauder: Itā€™s based in NYC but speaks with a French accent. Sounds cute, but it's the 2nd biggest beauty company on the planet, valued at $40B (or about 10 Lyfts). And it owns the whole cosmetics counter: Mac, Clinique, & Bobbi Brown, to name a few. 

  • šŸ”» But the stock chart just smudged like red lipstickā€”itā€™s down 55% this year.

The shocking stat:  A whopping 29% of EstĆ©e Lauderā€™s makeup sales are at the airport. Turns out, stocking up on lip color at LAX is the move. But foreign travelers havenā€™t been flying as much as Americans lately (especially high-spending Chinese travelers), which lead to ELā€™s bad quarter. But can we talk about that stat again?

  • šŸ’„ Nearly 1 out of 3 lipsticks from EstĆ©e Lauder is sold at an airport.

  • āœˆļø Thatā€™s why the company snagged exclusive spots for a Clinique Counter at Duty Free or GlamGlow vending machine by Gate 43B.

The Takeaway ā†’

EstĆ©e Lauder found the perfect captive audience. In traditional retail stores, you can comparison shop ā€” or just leave. But when youā€™re in Terminal 4 at JFK you have 3 hours to burn and you canā€™t leave (and youā€™re spending like youā€™re already on vacay) ā€¦itā€™s the perfect mix for a captive retail audience. So EstĆ©e has turned airports into their own department store.

On the pod today:

šŸŽ¢ Six Flags is merging with Cedar Point in a $8B deal. To hear about how Daffy Duck and Batman have more value than roller coasters, listen to todayā€™s pod.

 

šŸ§‘ā€āš–ļø Sam Bankman-Fried was found guilty of all 7 criminal charges. Now, a maximum sentence of 115 years in prison is in store for the FTX crypto founder. 

šŸ’Š Moderna stock fell because only 5% of Americans have gotten the latest COVID shot. The mRNA vaccine maker expects revenue to drop ~$4B next year before new vaccines come out in 2025. 

šŸ“± Appleā€™s stock dipped after it reported itā€™s expecting a weaker holiday season than expected. And sales for every hardware product declined year-over-year in the 3rd Quarter except the iPhone. 

šŸš— Toyota gave its non-unionized workers at US factories a 9% pay raise to try to match what Detroitā€™s unionized workers got. 

ā˜• Starbucks stock is up 10% after the earnings report showed that premium drinks are ā€œthe new normalā€ #OrangeMochaFrappuccinos

šŸ’šŸ¼ā€ā™€ļø The top business schools are enrolling more women than men. Of the 5 top schools, women now make up at least half of full time MBA students. 

šŸŒæ NYC-based, Magnolia Bakery is turning its cupcakes into cannabis edibles. The chocolate and cookie category of ediblesā€™ sales are down ~25% compared to last year. 

šŸ’œ McDonaldā€™s and Crocs just collabed on slip-ons that Grimace would kill for. 

 

 

ā

Daylight savings is Sunday Nov. 5ā€”when most of the nation will fall back (turn clocks back and gain an hour of sleep). Hawaii and Arizona are the only states that donā€™t observe daylight savings time. 

From Rachel in Huntington Beach, CA.

 

And one more thing. Any other private island-esque retreats we should have on our radar?

ā€”Nick & Jack

FYI, the writers of this newsletter own stock of Starbucks, Apple, Airbnb, and Moderna.

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