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š E.l.f. Beauty explains the Election
š Election week hangover edition
Happy Saturday Besties,
This was a big weekā¦ an election week makes some anxious, others eager, and the maps look divided (literally). Thatās why we wanted to share a story that united us.
During WWII, the US military asked the entire US car industry for a favor: Put aside the rivalries & create one vehicle to win the war ā And that vehicle was The Jeep š
Thatās right: To create the Jeep, 3 rival car companies put aside differences and came together to build something unprecedented.
And this car saved the world: Jeep, a creation of many Americans, from competing companies, was the ultimate group project success story.
So if youāre looking for a break from political coverage, give this special episode on the Jeep a listen.
(Itās episode #4 of our new show āThe Best Idea Yet: The untold origin stories of the products you're obsessed withā)
GET THIS
ELECTION HANGOVER: Americans ordered 20% more takeout on Tuesday than the average day. Stayed up late watching Steve Kornacki touch the big board. Woke up the next day with a lot of feelings.
WHO COUNTED THE VOTES: We do. 645,219 Americans ran the election with patriotism & coffee (according to a report written for Congress). We divide power across states and within the states, so election responsibilities were divided between hundreds of counties & thousands of towns.
HEREāS A TIP
šÆ The most powerful word in persuasion ā āWeā. It has the power to help you de-escalate and handle any hard conversation. Political convos are unavoidable rn. By using āweā instead of āyou,ā you can avoid conflict and show empathy, per the WSJ.
Data shows: In Reddit forums, comments that use āyouā were 3x more likely to require moderator intervention than ones that used āweā.
Why? āyouā makes someone feel attacked and get defensive, while āweā was more inclusive and makes the person more likely to listen.
Give it a try: Giving feedback to a colleague? Instead of saying āyou need to improve the deck,ā try āwe need more organized decks.ā It even works in relationships: āHoney, we need to get out of the bathroom fasterā
ELECTION ECONOMICS
šŗ How Markets reacted: Its best week of the yearā¦ The Dow jumped 3.6% Wednesday because an extension of Trumpās 2017 corporate tax is now highly likely ā Companies will keep more of their profits and pay less in taxes. It was the marketās biggest jump (1,500 pts) in 2 years. BUT those tax cuts will be paid for with debt (economists estimate weāll need $4 trillion of debt). Thatās why interest rates on US government debt rose also rose Wednesday ā the US is expected to borrow more in a Trump admin, so bond investors are going to charge America higher interest.
Photo Source: Anna Moneymaker/Getty Images
š Stock Market Winners & Losersā¦
Who Won: Tesla stock soared 15% (winner). Elon gave the Trump campaign $130 Million and now heās likely to get presidential favors (preferential treatment on regulations, exemptions on tariffsā¦stay tuned). Speaking of Elon (winner), he may lead what he calls, āDepartment of Government Efficiencyā ā D.O.G.E. ā also the name of his fave cryptocurrency. Speaking of crypto (winner), Bitcoin reached an all-time high price of $75K, as Trump promised crypto-friendly policies. So Robinhood & Coinbase stocks (winners) rose 20% and 30%, on more crypto trading expected. And increased economic activity in general meant bank stocks rose too (winner) ā JP Morgan rose 12% on Wednesday alone. Plus, private prison stocks, like CoreCivic, jumped on Trumpās tough-on-crime talk.
Who Lost: Clean energy stocks tanked (loser), as Trump plans to roll-back environmental incentives š & regulations. None of these are isolated. All interconnected. But the biggest economic splash is our tradeā¦.
š¶ Trade War 2?? In Trumpās 1st term, he taxed a limited number of Chinese šØš³ imports as they entered our country. This time, he plans to tax everything we buy from China up to 60%. And tax everything else we buy from overseas (including from our allies) by 10%. Economists believe these tariffs will raise prices, which then require high interest rates to bring inflation down (Btw, the US just went through this). But Trump thinks economists are wrong. He says tariffs are misunderstood. Smaller, US-only (no imports/exports) companies are expected to benefit from tariffs, but the big Q is whether a majority of Americans do.
ELECTION-ISH
š Elf Beauty explains the election: For years, Elf Beautyās growth was slow. But then in 2022 something changedā¦ Elf went from 6% sales growth to 60% ā Thatās avg revenue growth of 60% every quarter š¤Æ. What changed? Inflation. Thatās when prices went up across economy. Suddenly, Elfās super affordable cosmetics became #1 for everyone under 45ā¦ because Elfās $3 lipstick is still just $3. We called this the āGrocery Receipt Electionā (i.e. prices were the priority). Well, Elf Beauty captures that ā Elf was an inflation-buster & consumers loved āem for it.
If you want to understand the 2024 election, look at Elf Beauty
Calm ad on election night
š§š» Who really won Election day? Calm, the Meditation app, bought a surprise TV commercial: 30 seconds of silence and a Calm logo (pic above). The $2 Billion startup bought space on CNN & ABC, then said nothingā¦.and that said everything. Most ads are loud (literally by turning up the volume). But Calm shows donāt need volume, you just need contrast. And what do we all need during this tense political moment? Relaxationā¦ as they put it, ya need Calm. Brilliant.
The Takeaway: Find Your Super Bowl. Calm turned Election Night into its Super Bowl by finding a less crowded, more relevant day for its brand to focus all its ad energy. Itās the same strategy as a Super Bowl commercial, but lower cost and greater attention. So find your Super Bowl.
TELL A BESTIE
The best headlines to bring to the weekend tailgateā¦
š¤ GANSTA PARTY: Snoop Dogg had a futuristic concert in Times Square
š¢ SAD DAY: SFO airport lost its bouncy conveyer belt
šš»āāļø BANKRUPT: TGIF has $50M in gift cardsā¦ first come first serve?
THE BEST IDEA YET
NEW EPISODE: Jeep: The Car that Saved the World š
New episodes drop every Tuesday: Nick & Jack tell the untold origin stories of the products youāre obsessed with in our new show The Best Idea Yet (pairs perfectly with the weekend).
HINT for next episode: It goes great on avocado toast, pasta, and Nick dressed as it for Halloween when he was 24. š¶ļø
And one more thing. Weāve been keeping a secret from youā¦ just gotta hold it in a little bit longer. Elves are working šš
ā Nick & Jack
Coming soonā¦
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